Wednesday, May 19, 2010

LeBron's last game...

Last Thursday night, I was sitting at Tu Tu Tango in Orange County watching the last game of the year for LeBron James. Speculation is flying that The King is looking for a new throne. However, I want to take a few moments and look back on the last few minutes of his last game of the '09-'10 season. There was a moment with just over 9 minutes when I thought Boston made a tactical error. Ray Allen brushed off Rajon Rondo on the fast break, James got the steal and made a hoop in transition. The momentum (bad word) was short lived and the Cavs proved to have no heart.

4:52 - Antawn Jamison and Mo Williams take turns bricking shots. As I watch this I am getting the feeling that the Cavs are really tight. It feels like all of the Cavs know if I miss this shot, it could be the shot that sends the King out of town.

3:50 - Anderson Varejao hits two free throws to pull the Cavs within 90-78. Except old Andy, he plays with heart...passion...I like his game.

3:38 - Rasheed Wallace bricks a free throw, sinks the second. Shaq, The Big Albatross, sits on the bench sucking on his mouthpiece. There is something wrong with pro sports when we pay guys long beyond their usefulness. Shaq sucks up $21mm in cap and salary from the Cavs, yet he is sitting on the sideline not producing when the season is on the line.

3:27 - LBJ drives hard to the hoop. Paul Pierce commits the foul. The first throw rolls around and drops. The second perfect. 91-80 I am not exactly sure where this LBJ was tonight or in the previous game, but something has definitely been different.

3:09 - Wallace bricks a jumper. Every time I watch the Lakers, I prefer Kobe shooting a horribly difficult shot than anything Luke Walton can muster up against the shot clock. So, watching Wallace cast up shots with Ray Allen and Paul Pierce on the floor makes me nauseous.

2:53 - Anthony Parker nails a huge triple. 91-83 Big shot, we might be heading to a great finish.

2:30 - Wallace bricks another jumper. Wallace is bricking more jump shots than Peja and C-Webb did in the 2002 Western Conference Finals. Those guys almost broke the backboard because they were so off, Wallace is trying to shoot the Celts out of the game.

2:21 - Bron drives hard to the hole, no foul. I can't understand where LeBron is. He is completely disengaged.

2:16 - Rondo gets fouled. He bricks the first and sinks the second. I like Rondo's game. He is fast, quick, makes good decisions, rebounds like crazy and sets him team up for easy looks. What he doesn't do, he can't hit a jump shot to save his life. This is the way that I would begin to defend the Celtics. MAKE RONDO SHOOT!

2:06 - James dunks (92-85). The Cavs are right there. They need to rebound and defend to put pressure on the Celtics.

1:36 - Garnett misses a hook, Pierce misses a chippy, Rondo grabs the ball and Doc calls time. The Cavs look terrible tonight. I have no idea how they did not get the most important rebound of the season TWICE!

1:27 - Garnett hits a turn around jumper (94-85). This is what Garnett can still do.

Sidenote: I was watching ESPN the other night and saw a story about Garnett and his friend Malik Sealy. KG met the guy in Minnesota and they became very good friends. Sealy was an NBA vet when KG got to the Wolves. Anyway, long story short, Malik Sealy was killed in a head on collision. A drunk driver was driving the wrong way on the highway and struck his car. Sealy was on his way home from KG's birthday party.

Kevin has been on my list of disliked athletes because the immature way he handled being eliminated by the Lakers in the Western Conference Finals in 2004. He couldn't speak without dropping f-bombs.

Anyway, after watching the story, I felt a little empathy for him. He was human. I just threw up a little in my mouth.

1:22 - Bron drives and throws under the basket to Wallace. I have no idea what LBJ is doing in this sequence. However, it is clear that he was out of the game. The entire Cavs team played like they wanted to savor the moment, rather than seizing the moment and competing for a Championship.

0:33 - Pierce misses a jumper. The Cavs let the Celtics run the clock down.

James finals line looks good, 27-19-10 on 8-21 shooting. However, he was not in this game. He looked far away. He looked like he was reflecting on the past, thinking towards the future and the enormity of his impending decision was weighing on his shoulders like nothing ever has before. He looked like kids at graduation. Satisfied with what they had accomplished, remembering the good times with fondness (the friends, the dances, etc...), nervous about what lies ahead.

Before game 5 of the Eastern Conference Finals, I would have said 100% he is going to return. Now, I think he is on his way out.

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There are 628 homes available in Corona. I am going to start posting my featured listings this weekend. However, some of them are out of the area (Fullerton, Huntington Beach, etc).

Sunday, May 16, 2010

Western Conference Finals Preview

As the Western Conference Finals approach, I felt it was necessary to write a preview. Without further adieu...

Center

Andrew Bynum 15.0/8.3/1.0 (10.3/8.9/1.1)
Robin Lopez 8.4/4.9/0.1 (unavailable)

This is no contest. Andrew Bynum is twice the center that Robin Lopez is. The only way that Phoenix wins this battle is if Drew's knee is actually getting worse. Drew is bigger, stronger and a better player than Lopez. Bynum should be able to have his way around the paint when Lopez is in the game. However, Lopez will win the hustle plays. If there is a knock on Bynum it is that he doesn't always match the intensity of his opponent. Lopez will bring plenty of energy. Bynum is also a liability when the Sun switch in Channing Frye for Lopez. Bynum will not follow him to the three point line.

Advantage: Lakers

Power Forward

Amar'e Stoudemire 23.1/8.9/1.0 (20.5/7.0/1.5)
Pau Gasol 18.3/11.3/3.4 (20.2/13.1/3.3)

I personally think this is a no-brainer. One of my favorite movies is Remember the Titans, there is a scene when Julius Campbell is talking to Gerry Bertier and Bertier says, "you're nothing...nothing but a waste of God-given talent". This line rings clear in my head EVERY time I watch Amar'e Stoudemire play basketball. He is a 6' 10" freak of nature. He can jump out of the gym. He plays with a ton of energy. A few years ago (2005 Playoffs) he played one of the most amazing playoff series I can remember torching Tim Duncan (41,37,34,31,and 42). However, he has gotten by on pure athleticism. He has no low post game. He can't back you down. He can dunk and from time to time drop a 19 footer and he struggles to get 10 boards a game. On the other hand Pau Gasol is legit. He has been through the battles (Carlos Boozer, Dwight Howard, Kendrick Perkins, KG, etc...) and he has won most of those battles. He is adept at going right, left and has a sneaky good jump shot. Lastly, if Gasol's offense isn't going well he will pitch in with 15 boards or 5 block shots or 5 assists. If the game isn't going well for Amar'e...well he will pout.

Advantage: Draw (Amar'e still has Nash getting him the ball for dunks)

Small Forward

Grant Hill 11.3/5.5/2.4 (9.5/6.7/2.3)
Ron Artest 11.0/4.3/3.0 (9.8/3.1/2.7)

Like I said last round of the playoffs, Ron Artest must feel like he is getting some time off. Kevin Durant was a bear in the first round. A constant struggle for Ron. However, Utah didn't have a good 3 for Artest to check and neither does Phoenix. I think that the Lakers should have Artest cover Richardson who has been playing well in the Playoffs and let Kobe guard the middle. Grant Hill doesn't have the game anymore to merit a big time defender.

Advantage: Lakers

Shooting Guard

Jason Richardson 15.7/5.1/1.8 (21.9/6.3/1.0)
Kobe Bryant 27.0/5.4/5.0 (26.9/3.9/4.9)

Even with all of the ailments, Kobe is better than Jason Richardson. He can shoot you into a game and he can shoot you out. I expect J-Rich's number to drop a bit on the offensive end since he has to follow Kobe around. Although, I wouldn't be surprised to see Grant Hill guard Kobe. If this switch does happen, Artest should take Richardson into the post until the Suns switch back.

Advantage: Lakers

Point Guard

Steve Nash 16.5/3.3/11 (17.8/3.1/9.0)
Derek Fisher 7.5/2.1/2.5 (10.6/2.5/3.2)

Steve Nash is one of the greatest player of all time. His pure shooting stats are out of this world (FG - 50+%, FT - 90+%, 3FG - 40+%). He is the Wayne Gretzky of basketball. He knows where his teammates will go before they do. And he hits them in stride almost every time. His weakness is on the defensive end. Fortunately for the Sun, Derek Fisher is not a primetime offensive player, so this deficiency will not be exploited too much by the Lakers. D-Fish is here for his experience and his ability to knock down timely shots.

Advantage: Suns

Bench

Channing Frye 11.2/5.3/1.4(8.7/5.6/1.1)
Leandro Barbosa 9.5/1.6/1.5(7.6/1.8/0.9)
Jared Dudley 8.2/3.4/1.4(7.4/3.5/1.9)

Lamar Odom 10.8/9.8/3.3 (8.5/8.1/1.8)
Shannon Brown 8.1/2.2/1.3 (6.6/1.6/1.0)
Jordan Farmar 7.2/1.6/1.5 (4.9/1.2/1.0)

Both teams benches have struggled this postseason. Frye has struggled to find his stroke and Odom has struggled to find a way into the flow. Odom should find a way to have an impact on the series from a rebounding and fascilitating the offense perspective. Frye will have an impact because of his ability to float around the three point line and his ability to nail long range jumpers. Barbosa can get going in a hurry, but has been very sporadic with his play this season. I expect him to get to the rim and rattle home a few open 3s in transition. The Suns bench plays with a lot of energy and can bring their team back into the game, or can extend leads that they have built. The Lakers will need to spend a lot of time slowing down the second unit of the Suns.

Advantage: Suns

Coaches

Alvin Gentry is a nice coach. However, he was fired by the Clippers and the Heat, and last year was the interim coach after Terry Porter completely tried to change the culture of the Suns. He will have his team prepared. However, Phil Jackson is the best coach in the NBA. Let's not get caught up in the hype over Greg Popovich (he is great), but Jackson has him by 6 rings. The argument that Pop hasn't had the players is silly, because Pop hasn't won a ring without Tim Duncan. Jackson has now won with his third different team (Bulls, Lakers '00-'02, Lakers '09). Phil will not be outcoached by Gentry.

Advantage: Lakers

Bottom line


The Suns have Stoudemire and Nash, but the Lakers respond with Kobe and Gasol. The Lakers run 5 deep with all-stars, the Suns just do not have enough to match up. Based on talent and experience, I do not think that the Suns have enough to win even one game in this series. However, the Lakers tend to coast when not challenged (and I don't think the Suns can challenge then), so I expect the Suns to take a game in Phoenix. The Suns only hope of extending this series is to have a 'Goran Dragic' game 4 times this series. While they do have some guys capable (Frye, Barbosa, Dragic) the odds of it happening once let alone four times are pretty small.

Prediction: Lakers in 5